Nodar Khaduri:
Minister of Finance of Georgia
“According to the World Bank, Georgia has the highest economic growth. If we have a 6% economic growth, the country holding the second position in our category - Armenia, has a 3.2% growth.”
Guram LOBZHANIDZE FactCheck
According to the Minister of Finance of Georgia, Nodar
Khaduri, Georgia is a leader in its category by its economic growth rates based upon the information of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.
According to the data of the World Bank, the expected economic growth rate of Georgia equals 5%. In addition, according to the official forecast of the Government of Georgia, a 5% economic growth is expected in 2014. Hence, the part of Mr Khaduri’s statement saying that the expected economic growth of Georgia in 2014 is 696 based upon the information of the World Bank is not entirely accurate.
Based upon the data of the International Monetary Fund, Georgia is still grouped with the Commonwealth of Independent States members. The group contains the former Soviet republics with the exception of the Baltic States. According to the data of the expected GDP growth of these countries, Georgia holds the fourth position out of the 12 countries. The real expected GDP growth of Georgia is 5.03%. Turkmenistan (10.12%), Tajikistan (6%) and Uzbekistan (7%) occupy the first three positions. Based upon the data of the International Monetary Fund, the expected economic growth of Armenia is 3.18%.
Taking into account that Georgia is not a member of the Commonwealth of Independent States and has chosen the path of European integration, it would be sensible to assume that in his statement, the Minister of Finance of Georgia talked about the developing countries of Eastern Europe. According to the International Monetary Fund, none of the countries in the group of the developing countries of Eastern Europe has an expected growth of more than 3.4% which means that the growth rate of Georgia is indeed the highest in the group. In addition, the expected growth rate of the Georgian economy in 2015 (5%) is also higher than those rates of the developing states of Europe.
According to the classification of the World Bank, Georgia falls in the category of Eastern European and Central Asian countries. The aforementioned category includes 20 states, most of which are former Soviet Union or former Yugoslavia member states.
Table 3: Expected Economic Growth Rates of Eastern European and Central Asian States
Country |
2014 |
2015 |
Turkmenistan |
10 |
10 |
Uzbekistan |
7 |
6,7 |
Kyrgyzstan |
6,5 |
5,4 |
Tajikistan |
6,3 |
6,2 |
Azerbaijan |
5,2 |
4,1 |
Kazakhstan |
5,1 |
5,9 |
Georgia |
5 |
5,5 |
Armenia |
5 |
5,5 |
Montenegro |
3,2 |
3,5 |
Macedonia |
3 |
3,5 |
Moldova |
3 |
3,8 |
Romania |
2,8 |
3,2 |
Turkey |
2,4 |
3,5 |
Hungary |
2,4 |
2,5 |
Albania |
2,1 |
3,3 |
Bulgaria |
1,7 |
2,4 |
Serbia |
1 |
1,5 |
Belarus |
-0,5 |
1,5 |
Ukraine |
-5 |
2,5 |
Source: World Bank
As Table 3 makes clear. Kazakhstan (5.1%), Azerbaijan (5.2%), Kyrgyzstan (6.5%), Tajikistan (6.3%) and Turkmenistan (10%) occupy higher positions than Georgia by the expected growth rate of their GDP. Accordingly, Georgia does not occupy the first place according to these data. It should also be noted that the expected economic growth rate of Armenia in 2014 is identical with that of Georgia based upon these data.